Case 12Financial ForensicsFailure

Enron

Enron Corp. · 1997–2001

Should the equity committee exit, reduce to a de minimis verification hold while suspending new exposure, hold benchmark weight, or add to Enron after the Q2 filing and CEO transition?

At the decision boundary

Enron public-equity verification and liquidity decision at August 16, 2001

Decision time
August 16, 2001
Knowledge cutoff
August 16, 2001
Recommended path
Suspend new capital and reduce or exit because independent verification and liquidity readiness are insufficient; retain at most a de minimis position only to preserve monitoring discipline. This is an uncertainty and downside-control decision, not a conduct allegation.
Confidence
Moderate

What happened

No actual trade by the hypothetical investment committee is in the source record; the case therefore evaluates the documented Part A recommendation, not an invented portfolio execution.

The Part A process was sound because it recommended exposure reduction based on cutoff-valid verification and liquidity gaps rather than predicting misconduct or bankruptcy. It preserved opposing evidence, required independent gates, avoided casual netting, and abstained from a target price.

Case inventory

What is inside

16source records
12financial tables
27material claims
1candidate rules

Transfer with care

Rule hypotheses from this case

All rule hypotheses →
Candidatemoderate confidence

rule.accounting-verification-and-liquidity-gate

Suspend new capital and reduce or exit to a de minimis verification hold until independent accounting, cash, counterparty, collateral, governance, and liquidity gates clear.

When reported value and liquidity depend on counterparties or structures supported by the issuer itself, a fall in confidence or issuer equity can simultaneously weaken hedges, increase collateral needs, reduce funding access, and expose prior reporting errors.

Read against

A contrasting case sharpens the boundary.